Coarse-Membrane
0x7734f02ae405576e0d3eeb59164d8c5f617c4193
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$24.85
Realised
$81.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3666 shares @ 61.4¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$732.44
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3666 shares @ 38.7¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$683.65
$-733.89
- NO
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$400.00
$5.00
- YES
APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?
288 shares @ 83.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$231.68
$-8.32
- NO
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?
272 shares @ 79.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$231.03
$13.77
- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
243 shares @ 75.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$139.59
$-42.48
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 18?
130 shares @ 99.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$126.62
$-2.73
- NO
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$107.25
$7.15
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 19.5¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.80
$-23.20
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
250 shares @ 6.3¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$15.38
$-0.42
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.43May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$1.47May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.33May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.03May 18, 10:48 UTC
- REWARD$0.20May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.25May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$16.57May 18, 10:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.76May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?$19.76May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?$9.82May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 18?$129.35May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$323.69May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$73.13May 18, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.99May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.99May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$0.02May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$0.95May 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.99May 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00May 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.95May 18, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $41.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".