Unruly-Button
0x77500a1651826ef61b2dde9d666851f13179324d
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$468.22
Total PnL
$-119.98
Realised
$53.85
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
410 shares @ 13.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.95
$-17.65
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
110 shares @ 31.9¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.34
$-3.76
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
80 shares @ 36.7¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.00
$-0.36
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
30 shares @ 75.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.65
$6.15
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
60 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$27.90
$-3.90
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$26.50
$0.50
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.50
$-18.50
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
300 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.42
$-4.08
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.50
$0.50
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
20 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.65
$0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$20.40May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$17.08May 18, 08:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$20.00May 17, 08:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$19.20May 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$15.00May 15, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$18.60May 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$16.50May 14, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$9.43May 10, 14:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$1.02May 9, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$2.90May 9, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$6.55May 9, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $16.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".