Surprised-Consist
0x77513b35a848f599edc9f44cebb098faff694dab
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.73
Total PnL
$-613.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
99 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.62
$1.54
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.33
$-0.27
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
100 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$-2.05
- NO
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
50 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$-0.63
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$-2.32
- YES
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
90 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$0.04
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
40 shares @ 7.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$-1.96
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.64
$-1.56
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$10.00May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?$4.92May 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?$5.83May 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?$6.63May 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$6.94May 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$7.46May 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?$2.76May 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-17?$4.67May 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-17?$2.76May 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17?$2.66May 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.15May 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?$2.96May 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.96May 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$4.47May 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?$4.97May 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.29May 15, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$4.20May 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$8.55May 14, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?$10.00May 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?$4.27May 13, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".