Old-Detection
0x77b5acecbc67d1bef9b63ab6ff3dc886ef809170
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$30.62
Win rate
69%
88 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
108 shares @ 74.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$77.22
$-2.70
- NO
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
78 shares @ 87.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$71.37
$2.88
- NO
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
60 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$59.37
$-0.21
- NO
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
69 shares @ 82.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$57.48
$0.89
- NO
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?
103 shares @ 72.9¢·now 55.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$56.45
$-18.33
- NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
88 shares @ 91.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.95
$-25.05
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
63 shares @ 87.9¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.77
$-5.59
- NO
Will Maxx Crosby play for Buffalo Bills next?
48 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$47.81
$1.71
- NO
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
36 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$36.36
$0.49
- NO
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
35 shares @ 88.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$34.62
$3.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?$1.54May 17, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Gaethje fight Max Holloway next?$4.85May 17, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$2.36May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$3.05May 17, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 17, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.54May 17, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.02May 17, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$34.00May 17, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$4.49May 17, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$4.08May 17, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$30.09May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$4.90May 17, 02:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$4.98May 16, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.00May 16, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.26May 16, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mesías Guevara finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.00May 16, 04:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 88 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".