Shrill-Cephalopod
0x780a5984bc095bdfae24fb8ea41d0c437eab07bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$25.89
Total PnL
$-9.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
11 shares @ 88.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
45 shares @ 13.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.06
$-1.94
- NO
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.41
$-0.18
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
16 shares @ 31.9¢·now 8.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.26
$-3.74
- YES
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best Drama Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "SPY x FAMILY Season 3" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.51
$-1.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.70May 17, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on May 17?$5.13May 17, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$4.43May 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$4.80May 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$4.13May 9, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.95May 8, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$3.81May 8, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- Season 3" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$29.40May 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$8.29May 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$5.00May 3, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$5.00May 3, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$4.49May 3, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.31May 2, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.87May 2, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.00May 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?$2.60May 1, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?$2.70May 1, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$7.69May 1, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.50Apr 30, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A$1.21Apr 29, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".