Finished-Derby
0x7865dddfd57aed0b5796846711470bb7d03a70d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$38.17
Total PnL
$-5.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.10
$1.30
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.55
$1.75
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
20 shares @ 48.5¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.39
$-0.41
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.13
$-2.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% by the end of May?$107.00May 18, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% by the end of May?$99.04May 13, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% by the end of May?$6.92May 13, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$305.00May 9, 17:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 7?$5.00May 8, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?$0.80May 8, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?$0.80May 7, 02:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 7?$3.60May 6, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?$3.31May 6, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?$2.76May 6, 01:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?$4.97May 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?$349.65May 5, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 4?$110.00May 5, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 4?$5.00May 4, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 4?$10.00May 4, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $46.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".