Threadbare-Pianist
0x78a19803306d350cd1120bb07fcfe91a665be6bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$607.02
Realised
$59.08
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
609 shares @ 29.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$441.35
$259.82
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
400 shares @ 32.4¢·now 93.7¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$374.44
$244.85
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
335 shares @ 25.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$289.96
$203.21
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
249 shares @ 38.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$245.93
$150.84
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
225 shares @ 27.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$185.63
$124.88
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
159 shares @ 22.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$158.92
$123.87
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
150 shares @ 36.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$138.75
$84.75
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
210 shares @ 34.6¢·now 65.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$136.60
$63.95
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 36.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.75
$57.75
- YES
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
150 shares @ 36.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.75
$48.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$225.00May 17, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$250.00May 16, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$76.48May 16, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$257.00May 16, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$0.00May 15, 00:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.75May 15, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 14, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$10.80May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$100.05May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$90.00May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$44.15May 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$18.85May 14, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$0.00May 14, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?$0.00May 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?$63.00May 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$73.37May 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$93.38May 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$90.00May 14, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $275.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".