Alive-Stuff
0x78ad03d27582cd1b5255d364ff8f093b6cf745cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$449.9K
Total PnL
$-244.0K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$244.1K
$94.1K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.0K
$-94.0K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?
47226 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$47.2K
$23.61
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30300 shares @ 83.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.5K
$1.2K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?
24085 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$24.1K
$16.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?
20617 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.6K
$10.54
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
69287 shares @ 29.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$16.3K
$-4.0K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?
8120 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$8.1K
$4.06
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
13994 shares @ 18.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.8K
$3.3K
- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
120000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-2.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$33.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?$20.6KMay 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?$24.1KMay 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?$47.2KMay 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?$8.1KMay 17, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?$2.2KMay 17, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?$16.4KMay 17, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 14?$17.7KMay 17, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$47.7KMay 17, 12:13 UTC
- YIELD$33.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$33.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$33.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$33.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$33.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?$2.2KMay 12, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 14?$17.7KMay 12, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?$16.4KMay 12, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$47.7KMay 12, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?$249.10May 12, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 10?$10.4KMay 12, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $10.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 05:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".