0x78b339d6f29d08a202b580b6fa7b06e7fda06dda
0x78b339d6f29d08a202b580b6fa7b06e7fda06dda
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$226.60
Total PnL
$-8.66
Realised
$0.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
21 shares @ 94.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.95
$-1.05
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
26 shares @ 49.2¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.90
$1.11
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 82.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.58
$2.24
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
21 shares @ 51.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.84
$-0.95
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 89.7¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.14
$-3.51
- NO
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
7 shares @ 81.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.25
$1.13
- NO
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.98
$0.86
- NO
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
6 shares @ 87.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.65
$0.62
- NO
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.20
$0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$23.53May 18, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.18May 18, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections?$3.08May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$0.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.38May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.20May 17, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.18May 17, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.18May 17, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.19May 17, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.20May 17, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.28May 17, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$3.01May 17, 02:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".