Bleak-Outrun
0x78b9f0923d7c1ee7ee9ab7f2202f3a463068a5fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.93
Total PnL
$-226.26
Realised
$-56.97
Win rate
33%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$0.30
- NO
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.90
$0.30
- YES
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?
1552 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.78
$-0.78
- YES
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.60
$0.00
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
907 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.45
$-0.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.30
$-0.30
- YES
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.30
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.33May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.27May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin visit China by May 31?$0.60May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.50May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.04May 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.60May 18, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".