Artistic-Firm
0x78d01fedaf1e1a85433320a23eb60b14c2d3a337
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$76.11
Total PnL
$-75.74
Realised
$3.95
Win rate
77%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
19 shares @ 84.8¢·now 57.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.69
$-5.22
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 25.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.20
$4.20
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
7 shares @ 2.5¢·now 64.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.45
$4.28
- YES
Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?
16 shares @ 6.6¢·now 28.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.44
$3.42
- YES
Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.27
$3.34
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
24 shares @ 53.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.19
$-8.69
- NO
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
9 shares @ 6.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.98
$3.46
- YES
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
150 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.67
$0.97
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.53
$0.23
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?$0.01May 17, 01:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSão Bernardo FC vs. América FC: O/U 4.5$0.13May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSão Bernardo FC vs. América FC: O/U 4.5$0.04May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSão Bernardo FC vs. América FC: O/U 4.5$0.01May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSão Bernardo FC vs. América FC: O/U 4.5$0.19May 16, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSão Bernardo FC vs. América FC: O/U 1.5$0.15May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?$0.47May 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)$0.05May 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)$0.01May 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)$0.09May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)$0.01May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)$0.09May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)$0.10May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)$0.01May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)$0.47May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.06May 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.02May 16, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 17?$0.01May 16, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".