Surprised-Monger
0x7a4112fb942e70b776d61a322b9cfaeeb582a18f
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$29.54
Total PnL
$7.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.70
$6.70
- NO
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.57
$1.57
- NO
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.18
$1.18
- NO
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.94
$0.94
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.84
$0.84
- NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- NO
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.29
$0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 5, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?$1.02May 5, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$1.03May 5, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$3.33May 5, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump's face on US gold coin by July 4?$1.00Apr 26, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$1.00Apr 26, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by June 30?$1.00Apr 26, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North West release an album by December 31?$1.00Apr 24, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.25Apr 24, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$2.70Apr 24, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.33Apr 24, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$0.00Apr 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?$1.07Apr 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.00Apr 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$1.00Apr 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.00Apr 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$1.00Apr 15, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".