Thrifty-Shallot
0x7a6192ea6815d3177e978dd3f8c38be5f575af24
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$115.4K
Total PnL
$-26.5K
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.9K
$6.9K
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
7296 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.3K
$4.0K
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
6608 shares @ 42.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.2K
$3.4K
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
6078 shares @ 37.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.3K
$3.0K
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5349 shares @ 11.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.7K
$4.0K
- NO
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
4548 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.5K
$2.1K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5689 shares @ 50.1¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.3K
$1.4K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.1K
$-6.9K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
6028 shares @ 30.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$2.2K
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
3303 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.3K
$1.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.21May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.21May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.22May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.23May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.23May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.23May 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.02May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.29May 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.02May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.74May 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.58Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.84Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $118.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".