Elementary-Kickoff
0x7ac17a06d2086f39f2f9dfc5dc6f2893e88a989f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$23.21
Total PnL
$-3.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 6.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.62
$3.63
- YES
Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.23
$4.23
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
19 shares @ 15.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$-1.76
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.61
$-0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$1.00May 12, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$0.23May 12, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.27May 12, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.53May 12, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$1.06May 12, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00Apr 23, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?$1.00Apr 19, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.42Apr 19, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$1.00Apr 16, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.00Apr 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 6, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Apr 5, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1.00Apr 2, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.00Mar 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Mar 29, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Mar 29, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?$0.00Mar 29, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's UN speech be between 35 and 40 minutes?$0.00Mar 29, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser in 2025?$0.00Mar 29, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser in 2025?$0.00Mar 29, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $0.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 04:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".