Similar-Balloonist
0x7b02b2bac2a30ed5e40b7094e734f4c3dc2a4991
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$731.4K
Total PnL
$-51.1K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$406.8K
$156.8K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
95372 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$93.6K
$776.23
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$93.3K
$-156.8K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
40000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.8K
$600.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
22058 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.1K
$87.52
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
16690 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.6K
$45.87
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
23216 shares @ 7.7¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.3K
$14.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
12658 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.0K
$-6.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
8897 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$8.7K
$66.73
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10720 shares @ 76.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.3K
$70.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$56.25May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$56.26May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$1.1KMay 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$8.6KMay 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$12.1KMay 16, 19:41 UTC
- YIELD$52.84May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.2KMay 15, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.2KMay 15, 22:27 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$150.0KMay 15, 14:34 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.0KMay 15, 14:24 UTC
- YIELD$50.78May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$11.2KMay 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$9.8KMay 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$11.7KMay 14, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$26.4KMay 14, 01:22 UTC
- YIELD$50.79May 14, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$12.9KMay 14, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$46.6KMay 13, 22:10 UTC
- YIELD$50.77May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$76.55May 12, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 16, 19:50 UTC → May 16, 19:41 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$8.6K@97¢May 16, 19:41 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$8.6K
1 trades
30d volume
$8.6K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
$8.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".