Flippant-Casement
0x7b3748ee71170b93f859032d625658d45dc3222b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$10.2K
Total PnL
$-740.11
Realised
$-48.49
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
4790 shares @ 62.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.9K
$-161.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2883 shares @ 51.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$18.74
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?
1684 shares @ 64.2¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.1K
$21.98
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
1134 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$963.52
$-0.14
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
1328 shares @ 75.5¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$962.63
$-39.99
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
634 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$555.08
$-3.12
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
874 shares @ 61.9¢·now 60.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$532.23
$-9.05
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
2189 shares @ 45.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$470.69
$-533.62
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
263 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.46
$-1.31
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?
265 shares @ 75.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$192.28
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$9.43May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$2.30May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$6.90May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$6.90May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$6.90May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$6.90May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$1.15May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$1.15May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$9.89May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$1.15May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$1.15May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$20.66May 16, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$35.16May 16, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?$20.39May 16, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 11 2026?$0.00May 16, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?$186.89May 16, 04:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.70May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.27May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?$15.70May 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$37.54May 15, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $158.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".