Improbable-Cruise
0x7bbb2a2730e35844c2a786b9275033ce15cdad2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-450.27
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
300 shares @ 40.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.50
$84.99
- YES
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
300 shares @ 58.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$181.50
$6.64
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
200 shares @ 65.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$181.00
$51.00
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$98.95
$14.95
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
309 shares @ 38.5¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.71
$-23.09
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
132 shares @ 72.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$85.14
$-10.22
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
100 shares @ 53.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.50
$4.74
- NO
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
30 shares @ 69.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$25.35
$4.43
- YES
Will Michael McCord be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$24.50
$2.50
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
32 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$22.03
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$2.14May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$22.39May 18, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMSV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score$194.00May 16, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEM1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score$194.09May 16, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMBorussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score$194.00May 16, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$55.00May 16, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$21.17May 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael McCord be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?$22.69May 15, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$3.75May 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$5.59May 15, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMGetafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5$183.34May 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$96.68May 13, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.68May 13, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$100.00May 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$4.05May 12, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill PARIVISION win PGL Astana 2026?$50.00May 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$84.54May 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$12.25May 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$177.77May 10, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score$73.02May 10, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $38.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".