Upset-Bough
0x7bc574af8aac2b1f6d473dec2039d26eb6b04626
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$774.00
Total PnL
$-103.3K
Realised
$-3.88
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
800 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$774.00
$5.20
- MATTIA BELLUCCI
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce
14395 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- STEFANOS TSITSIPAS
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
9829 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?
8000 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- ELISABETTA COCCIARETTO
Miami Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauff
8000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- MADISON KEYS
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova
6801 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- MARTIN LANDALUCE
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Lehecka
6700 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- FC BARCELONA
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
5161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- TEREZA VALENTOVA
Miami Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tereza Valentova
5000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- CASPER RUUD
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn
5000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.60May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.73May 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?$114.60May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?$72.90May 18, 07:02 UTC
- REWARD$17.64May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$0.28May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$299.37May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon$867.07May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$3.15May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$0.89May 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$145.05May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$145.35May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$2.25May 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$0.04May 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$0.11May 17, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon$274.64May 17, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$0.11May 17, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.46May 17, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$10.41May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$4.55May 17, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $108.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".