Authorized-Tic
0x7bdd1388fa93df20ddcfdb7535d195596d6d5fb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$33.11
Realised
$29.74
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
314 shares @ 93.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$290.29
$-2.71
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
154 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$142.59
$1.73
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 91.9¢·now 87.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$87.75
$-4.15
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.50
$-5.50
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 92.4¢·now 86.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.34
$-6.05
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
102 shares @ 63.4¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$74.82
$9.80
- NO
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
100 shares @ 79.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$68.82
$-10.65
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
72 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.90
$1.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.27
$5.27
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 51.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.51
$12.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$93.00May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$90.67May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.39May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.33May 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$37.59May 18, 10:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.21May 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.00May 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$26.35May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$94.00May 18, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$186.00May 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$5.94May 18, 09:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$3.36May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$32.77May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$59.23May 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$34.80May 17, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.74May 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$23.59May 17, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $32.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".