Troubled-Ball
0x7c07f7daaad69a4f542745b801cee2f04b1bec50
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-8.2K
Realised
$-4.3K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- $3,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
2570 shares @ 68.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$-143.67
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1384 shares @ 63.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$289.73
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
1928 shares @ 37.7¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$655.39
$-72.19
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
2230 shares @ 22.4¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$312.21
$-187.79
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
378 shares @ 37.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$172.16
$32.16
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
2273 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$159.09
$-90.91
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
465 shares @ 43.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.91
$-72.09
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.25
$-68.75
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
17408 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
3676 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-884.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$140.00May 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$250.00May 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$500.00May 4, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$1.0KMay 4, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$1.9KMay 4, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$380.00May 2, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$379.62May 2, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$500.00May 1, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$500.00May 1, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.0KMay 1, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Apr 24, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$12.71Apr 24, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.00Apr 23, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$22.71Apr 23, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$21.65Apr 23, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$21.65Apr 23, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$15.49Apr 23, 04:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $125.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".