0x7c470b5f69784d1e5fcdd58fb6705de2842b2136
0x7c470b5f69784d1e5fcdd58fb6705de2842b2136
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-5.64
Realised
$-2.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
695 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$692.57
$-0.35
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
473 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$468.98
$-0.71
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
971 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$692.91May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$700.19May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$700.89May 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.68May 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.37May 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.69May 16, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.37May 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.17May 16, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.89May 16, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$689.62May 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$685.44May 14, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$673.13May 14, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$673.82May 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?$679.64May 14, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?$680.32May 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$14.96May 13, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00May 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$18.36May 9, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$679.64May 9, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$680.32May 9, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $384.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".