Foolhardy-Overload
0x7c76a4819749aca50abbac29b945be1bcaa09349
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$97.88
Total PnL
$-100.93
Realised
$54.26
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1012 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.14
$7.19
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
298 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.42
$-7.58
- YES
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.83
$1.84
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
44 shares @ 11.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1075 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.84
$-2.16
- YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
93 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
262 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.79
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$2.00May 17, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.04May 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.04May 17, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.00May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.19May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$22.52May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.27May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$2.00May 16, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.03May 16, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.03May 16, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.04May 16, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.05May 16, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$6.00May 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$5.00May 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$5.94May 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.05May 14, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".