0x7c8123229ff1e67ea8b12fc1618cf0600d835d38
0x7c8123229ff1e67ea8b12fc1618cf0600d835d38
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$272.04
Total PnL
$-57.69
Realised
$-25.09
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
80 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.32
$1.32
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
56 shares @ 89.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$49.97
$-0.03
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.47
$0.47
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
26 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
663 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$24.20
$-0.60
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
17 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.60
$0.64
- YES
Brex IPO before 2027?
659 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.85
$-11.15
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
645 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.55
$-18.07
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.91
$0.01
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
248 shares @ 4.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.29
$-5.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$50.00May 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$25.00May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.12May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$0.28May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$0.29May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$0.36May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $7.39May 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$50.90May 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$74.39May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$122.52May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$181.10May 18, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.00May 18, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $42.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".