Jubilant-Direction
0x7c833fe781ef10059ca66f377df07352e45bd800
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$158.05
Total PnL
$35.06
Realised
$10.20
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
74 shares @ 25.6¢·now 55.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$40.50
$21.63
- YES
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
19 shares @ 63.2¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$13.54
$1.74
- NO
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
13 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.21
$-0.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
12 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.44
$0.18
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.37
$0.15
- NO
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.56
$0.03
- YES
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
10 shares @ 82.6¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.11
$-0.37
- YES
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.27
$-0.45
- YES
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
12 shares @ 18.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.54
$3.26
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
8 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.92
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$0.02May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$0.02May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$2.00May 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.94May 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$2.00May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.95May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$2.00May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.92May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$2.00May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.94May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?$0.35May 15, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$0.14May 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?$0.02May 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$0.02May 15, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$2.00May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.95May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$2.00May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.94May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$2.00May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.93May 15, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".