Cylindrical-Ale
0x7d1bb9f000e5fce13db3a0927b64aa38e69de75c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$16.2K
Total PnL
$-980.74
Realised
$216.72
Win rate
84%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
5307 shares @ 78.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.4K
$232.72
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
5225 shares @ 65.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$548.80
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
1124 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$116.19
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
996 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$975.04
$24.04
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
8163 shares @ 30.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$897.93
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?
753 shares @ 87.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$717.25
$59.97
- NO
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
706 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$691.17
$13.13
- YES
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
682 shares @ 53.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$535.33
$170.24
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
460 shares @ 78.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$397.90
$37.13
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
3202 shares @ 27.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$368.17
$-514.90
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.10May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.63May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.19May 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$34.00May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$38.32May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$154.00May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$158.00May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$4.05May 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$4.00May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$71.82May 17, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$38.52May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$4.78May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$155.22May 17, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$3.90May 17, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $30.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".