Warm-Vane
0x7d58986f00b3c00e9b24d02f8e35381ca154cfcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$20.2K
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-2.3K
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
4849 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.6K
$518.82
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11914 shares @ 20.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$1.4K
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3000 shares @ 26.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$975.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2822 shares @ 26.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$364.75
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2400 shares @ 27.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$996.00
$332.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1541 shares @ 63.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$778.36
$-192.25
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
866 shares @ 34.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$731.53
$435.76
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
1686 shares @ 31.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$632.12
$109.57
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
778 shares @ 64.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$626.16
$126.57
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
879 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$514.50
$74.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$20.00May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$49.82May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$35.46May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$3.12May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.06May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.20May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$6.55May 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.02May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$33.88May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$32.19May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$124.51May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$16.32May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$210.24May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$30.88May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$32.73May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$424.50May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$57.20May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$51.96May 18, 04:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $43.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".