Dear-Croup
0x7d78ce270007585df9b39aeb1a3b10ea050bffa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$907.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
499 shares @ 34.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$349.63
$179.81
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
333 shares @ 33.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$238.09
$128.20
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
4653 shares @ 7.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$164.72
$-171.92
- YES
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 28.1¢·now 30.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$151.25
$10.75
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$145.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
4003 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.08
$-70.02
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
3633 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$85.38
$-109.25
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
983 shares @ 22.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$68.78
$-147.33
- YES
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$67.50
$7.50
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 19.9¢·now 24.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$48.90
$9.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$150.00May 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$41.08May 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.20May 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$18.00May 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$0.71May 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40.76May 9, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$140.50May 8, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$32.75May 8, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$102.61May 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$23.11May 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.40May 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$9.00May 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2.61May 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$61.33May 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$8.55May 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$26.77May 5, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.78May 5, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.65May 5, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.51May 5, 03:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.54May 5, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $52.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".