Knotty-Trail
0x7da8d2ce2a31ad9444ee3e0d33dbb72c38220cc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$170.61
Total PnL
$-951.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?
203 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$170.61
$20.49
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on February 11?
314 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.39
- YES
Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?
311 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.07
- LEVANTE UD
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)
300 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- UNDER
Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5
296 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-71.05
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.20 on February 7?
277 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-31.08
- OVER
CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 3.5
274 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-49.32
- YES
Will Tyler Paul Smith win the GA-14 special election?
262 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 15?
255 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 16?
250 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-24.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWatford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5$213.61Apr 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWatford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5$160.21Apr 13, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Dempsey win the GA-14 special election?$209.28Apr 10, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?$150.12Mar 22, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5$161.25Mar 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5$122.55Mar 16, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Levante UD (-2.5)$36.00Mar 16, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYHolstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5$71.05Mar 11, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 7?$278.32Mar 8, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 3.5$49.32Mar 7, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 7?$270.25Mar 2, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$110.57Feb 22, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Legzdina win Supernova 2026?$240.07Feb 22, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Myers (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$4.64Feb 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.74Feb 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$7.58Feb 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $460?$2.58Feb 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$107.14Feb 16, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyler Paul Smith win the GA-14 special election?$5.75Feb 15, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Dempsey win the GA-14 special election?$201.96Feb 15, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $76.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".