Polite-Wingtip
0x7dce96e76b248b2220be03e09629f899ee884682
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$621.49
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$173.51
Win rate
79%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
790 shares @ 29.9¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.38
$-38.54
- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
987 shares @ 18.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.92
$-18.55
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
104 shares @ 62.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$60.84
$-3.68
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
93 shares @ 33.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.88
$3.65
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
323 shares @ 7.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.61
$3.57
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026
108 shares @ 14.8¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.68
$6.75
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
51 shares @ 15.2¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.95
$11.29
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
154 shares @ 13.4¢·now 10.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.95
$-4.71
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
573 shares @ 6.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.55
$-21.84
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1433 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.61
$-10.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.41May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.31May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$8.20May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$10.00May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$15.07May 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$7.47May 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$33.98May 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$20.88May 18, 01:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.32May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$6.01May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$7.21May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$4.98May 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$27.03May 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$37.37May 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$42.00May 17, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$51.83May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$14.43May 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026$11.91May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$4.52May 17, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".