Favorite-Mammoth
0x7de7cbeba7e2ea14c6445be39d4d46a3cf14a9c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$72.6K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-44.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
9436 shares @ 73.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$-802.41
- NO
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
7000 shares @ 77.5¢·now 83.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.8K
$394.72
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$270.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5000 shares @ 86.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$328.30
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5000 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$163.03
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4998 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$74.97
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
5000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$275.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$25.00
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
3576 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$0.00
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 80.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$574.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.27May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$5.09May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$413.12May 17, 13:07 UTC
- YIELD$1.27May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$6.11May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$1.10May 16, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.0KMay 16, 07:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.27May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$5.50May 16, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$1.27May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$5.66May 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$1.27May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$6.05May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$3.28May 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$0.69May 13, 11:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.58May 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.27May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$13.35May 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$7.9KMay 12, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$620.66May 12, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $571.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".