Radiant-Divide
0x7df61ca342c9b53ba9b4c60745718ed48a77ac3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$9.5K
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
66%
133 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1199 shares @ 89.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-9.99
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
915 shares @ 80.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$708.95
$-26.07
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
826 shares @ 74.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$566.11
$-48.90
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
646 shares @ 81.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$507.37
$-19.55
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
453 shares @ 88.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$441.79
$40.87
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
400 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$371.40
$5.80
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
425 shares @ 86.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$367.62
$1.11
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
350 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$339.32
$24.01
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 85.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$338.00
$-4.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
350 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$333.02
$0.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$29.11May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$168.00May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.55May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$153.00May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$46.50May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.18May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$56.00May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.25May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$63.14May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.00May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$116.00May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.00May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$172.00May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$170.00May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$32.36May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$186.00May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$178.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$12.00May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$190.39May 18, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $90.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 133 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".