Unfit-Hardboard
0x7e35a2a8cfd1eb1e69dacd043206db5a787f1a6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$55.2K
Total PnL
$10.2K
Realised
$3.4K
Win rate
54%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
8578 shares @ 31.8¢·now 56.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$2.1K
- NO
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
2168 shares @ 53.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.1K
$985.20
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2022 shares @ 38.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$616.59
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
1725 shares @ 58.2¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.2K
$186.28
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
1474 shares @ 47.1¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$410.59
- NO
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
1108 shares @ 79.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$150.86
- NO
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
1144 shares @ 65.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$276.44
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1304 shares @ 38.8¢·now 64.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$835.68
$329.36
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12781 shares @ 4.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$798.84
$166.62
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1542 shares @ 36.3¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$793.28
$234.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.84May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.28May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.18May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?$1.19May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?$7.72May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?$32.69May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.28May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.23May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.25May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.43May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$4.55May 18, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.22May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.23May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.38May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.16May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.10May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?$0.13May 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$2.56May 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$148.62May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?$1.89May 18, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $29.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".