Downright-Sensor
0x7e39ec2c525d15837b8c2ff3ff46ecab1de464fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$20.66
Total PnL
$-10.10
Realised
$-0.44
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.58
$1.62
- YES
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?
4 shares @ 31.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.40
$1.13
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.04
$0.12
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.83
$0.39
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.69
$0.01
- YES
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.56
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.19
$-0.05
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 24.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3 shares @ 38.8¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.98
$-0.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$1.79May 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.79May 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.78May 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.95May 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.99May 14, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.98May 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Salzburg win on 2026-05-17?$1.31May 14, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?$1.02May 14, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York City FC win on 2026-05-13?$3.33May 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?$1.23May 11, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?$1.08May 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$0.91May 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York City FC win on 2026-05-13?$1.02May 11, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$1.01May 11, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSabres vs. Canadiens$1.87May 11, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$1.56May 11, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$1.02May 10, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$1.01May 10, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.06May 10, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 10:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".