Friendly-Fence
0x7e8b64a4d26c65ae190f72407ecbd2483cfac116
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$59.79
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.11
$0.11
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.59
$0.01
- NO
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.08
$0.05
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?
6 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.11
$-0.20
- NO
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.98
$-0.15
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.98
$-0.03
- NO
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
1711 shares @ 83.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?
63 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?
47 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.13Apr 22, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$5.31Apr 22, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.01Apr 8, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.58Mar 24, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.03Mar 18, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?$32.26Mar 18, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$34.46Mar 18, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? $236.96Dec 29, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win on 2025-11-18?$24.29Dec 29, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $960 in November?$100.20Dec 29, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$101.27Dec 29, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$108.70Dec 29, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$201.21Dec 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? $227.95Nov 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$200.00Nov 18, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta reach $960 in November?$100.00Nov 18, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$100.00Nov 18, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$96.00Nov 18, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $55.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".