Criminal-Scenario
0x7ed4f0476229d3aaa2e1b5d5318d473aee9d7759
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$31.3K
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$78.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6240 shares @ 88.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.0K
$458.40
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
5307 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.9K
$77.94
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4868 shares @ 81.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$263.75
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
3330 shares @ 92.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.1K
$43.36
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
2800 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$-44.60
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
3800 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$19.00
- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
2595 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$0.00
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
1402 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$20.99
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
1100 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$18.90
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
660 shares @ 84.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$651.99
$95.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$40.62May 17, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$78.33May 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$78.33May 17, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$0.09May 17, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$15.67May 17, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$65.80May 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$31.33May 17, 15:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$176.00May 16, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$463.27May 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$478.00May 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$9.84May 16, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$11.40May 16, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.4KMay 16, 07:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$11.45May 12, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $246.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".