Elliptical-Perspective
0x7f1d4b950c6392650713252cebac3293d5f745dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$120.50
Realised
$39.46
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
635 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$624.51
$9.24
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
486 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$454.87
$3.65
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
455 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$434.07
$5.57
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
370 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$351.77
$0.30
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
331 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$322.42
$6.62
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
298 shares @ 92.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$278.19
$2.59
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
250 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$246.62
$7.59
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
230 shares @ 87.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$219.07
$16.98
- NO
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$198.50
$6.50
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
164 shares @ 90.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.61
$5.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$34.40May 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta join the US? $47.65May 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.85May 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$25.41May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$13.77May 12, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.09May 12, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.40May 12, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$23.60May 11, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$32.10May 11, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$53.77May 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$45.50May 11, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$46.00May 10, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$50.00May 10, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$20.00May 9, 08:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$33.08May 8, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$23.75May 8, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$18.96May 8, 15:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$13.41May 7, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $38.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".