Those-Reality
0x7fae90116ca61ca3f7945664fe168c72e9c56853
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$672.12
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-141.90
Win rate
39%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
321 shares @ 28.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$243.96
$154.08
- NO
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
201 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$201.00
$36.18
- YES
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
48 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$48.00
$6.24
- NO
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
44 shares @ 98.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.01
$-0.42
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.00
$2.24
- YES
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
22 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$22.00
$7.04
- NO
Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?
20 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$20.00
$5.80
- NO
Will Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
19 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.00
$0.59
- NO
Will Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
12 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$12.00
$1.44
- NO
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$10.00
$3.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$10.74Apr 21, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?$17.63Apr 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?$5.84Feb 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?$10.65Feb 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?$31.95Feb 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$19.24Feb 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$41.37Feb 8, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$16.35Feb 8, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?$4.20Feb 8, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$39.69Feb 8, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$49.98Feb 8, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$1.05Feb 8, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$66.42Feb 8, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$287.82Feb 8, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$87.98Jan 11, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$75.40Jan 11, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$69.42Jan 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$205.92Jan 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$18.48Jan 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$12.15Jan 11, 17:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $98.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 04:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".