Spherical-Toy
0x7ff4e5a9e91e5a03e884af8813f19675cfe755bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$924.91
Total PnL
$236.92
Realised
$423.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$277.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1000 shares @ 12.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$45.50
- YES
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3700 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$66.60
$37.00
- YES
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
7287 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$47.37
$3.52
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
35 shares @ 30.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$35.00
$24.18
- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3699 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$31.44
$6.13
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
50 shares @ 33.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$26.75
$10.25
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
50 shares @ 54.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
50 shares @ 33.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$23.00
$6.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$1.20May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.30May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.09May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.32May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.35May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$4.08May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3.21May 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3.21May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3.23May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$3.06May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.40May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$0.45May 16, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.10May 16, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29.80May 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.55May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$2.26May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.50May 16, 22:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".