Wasteful-Disarmament
0x8009a2a65d3309ed522dca4a9f7e6cb5ca973e9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$331.38
Total PnL
$-12.95
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
197 shares @ 77.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$190.60
$38.08
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.11
$0.11
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.02
$-0.98
- NO
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.91
$0.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
21 shares @ 70.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.69
$-1.31
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
11 shares @ 39.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.01
$3.64
- NO
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 17?$5.07May 17, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.41May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.35May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.60May 17, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?$50.56May 17, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 16?$1.23May 17, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.41May 17, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.03May 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 17?$5.00May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 17?$5.00May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 17?$5.00May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 17?$5.02May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 17?$5.00May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or higher on May 18?$5.00May 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 18?$5.00May 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 18?$5.01May 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?$5.00May 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?$5.00May 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?$5.00May 16, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?$5.00May 16, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".