Threadbare-Ordinary
0x800d1b530d0a98f77722bf96398b45f3d70d628e
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$140.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
363 shares @ 71.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$362.91
$102.91
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
416 shares @ 73.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$351.89
$47.54
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
274 shares @ 55.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$273.84
$121.76
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
30 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.15
$-0.75
- YES
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
40 shares @ 60.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$-19.80
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
337 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-111.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$51.40May 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$98.00May 4, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$17.20May 2, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$5.23Apr 29, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$6.59Apr 29, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$29.67Apr 28, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$20.86Apr 27, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$91.18Apr 26, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$3.14Apr 26, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$24.90Apr 25, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$79.72Apr 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.83Apr 23, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$27.30Apr 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.45Apr 23, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$4.77Apr 23, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$22.52Apr 23, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$4.69Apr 23, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$12.91Apr 23, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$12.91Apr 23, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$20.00Apr 19, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $56.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".