Self-Reliant-Steppingstone
0x8027601530c3561a1701e81db885959bc043786f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$12.19
Total PnL
$-237.37
Realised
$2.72
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
4 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.70
$0.04
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.92
$0.59
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
191 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.62
$-0.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
26 shares @ 87.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.45
$-21.76
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
29 shares @ 86.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.39
$-24.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
25 shares @ 87.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.37
$-21.63
- YES
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
3 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.32
$0.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
2 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.15
$-0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?
70 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.21May 15, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 15, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.48May 15, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.17May 15, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$12.06May 15, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.08May 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.08May 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.05May 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.05May 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on May 16?$9.97May 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 16?$9.94May 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$18.39May 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$24.51May 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.03May 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.10May 15, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 16?$9.99May 15, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on May 16?$9.99May 15, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-13?$10.00May 14, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.04May 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Nacional win on 2026-05-12?$3.47May 11, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".