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0x80302a5a0f7806838ea65b39d91071e63cb67b74
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
2309 shares @ 15.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.2K
$865.82
- YES
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
1174 shares @ 21.3¢·now 24.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$286.57
$36.57
- YES
Will Twice release a song in 2026?
372 shares @ 33.7¢·now 58.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.21
$90.89
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 24.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$202.50
$82.50
- NO
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?
516 shares @ 19.2¢·now 28.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.44
$48.44
- NO
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
214 shares @ 32.2¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$117.61
$48.80
- NO
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
101 shares @ 41.4¢·now 79.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$80.32
$38.70
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
293 shares @ 41.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$68.49
$-51.51
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
108 shares @ 30.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$64.08
$31.08
- NO
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
100 shares @ 23.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.32
$33.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$73.70May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$45.53May 18, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$28.66May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$11.71May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$11.04May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$6.02May 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$79.27May 18, 01:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.29May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.87May 17, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$0.00May 17, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMDoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $14.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".