Arid-Doubter
0x803f119812bdd94fa68739f3155b549611fe6bda
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$56.20
Total PnL
$0.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
53 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$52.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?$2.00May 8, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$2.01May 8, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$52.03May 8, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$3.00May 8, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.02May 8, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELL10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.02May 8, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$5.14May 8, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 29?$4.08May 8, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$4.17May 8, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 29?$4.00Apr 28, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $8.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".