Competent-Incident
0x805aff71fe24555fe7744ae18d96717cd6f3735d
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$383.51
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- U 84.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
1266 shares @ 84.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$917.85
$-145.59
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
711 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$710.64
$0.36
- YES
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?
353 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$353.00
$63.54
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
464 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$317.84
$39.44
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
474 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$237.00
$-4.74
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
24 shares @ 49.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$24.00
$12.07
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
28 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.26
$0.70
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.22
$0.82
- NO
Celonis IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.70
$0.58
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 24.6¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.23
$0.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$11.04Apr 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$27.93Apr 12, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?$28.05Apr 11, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$508.30Apr 11, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$497.33Apr 11, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$4.96Apr 11, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$241.74Apr 10, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$18.62Apr 10, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$23.10Apr 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$141.46Apr 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$77.00Apr 9, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$14.07Apr 9, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$127.89Apr 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$882.63Apr 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$60.20Apr 7, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$144.80Apr 7, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$5.80Apr 7, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18?$61.29Mar 31, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18?$98.28Mar 31, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18?$153.36Mar 31, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $162.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".