Forthright-Armpit
0x80c65de4e3eb99d4d7f540b26cc45cd90b0be3c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$-422.72
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NO
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
751 shares @ 87.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$642.03
$-14.27
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
705 shares @ 70.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$504.18
$4.18
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
186 shares @ 53.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$186.22
$86.22
- UP
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
377 shares @ 79.5¢·now 39.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$147.21
$-152.79
- YES
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?
451 shares @ 39.9¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$33.34
$-146.66
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
6001 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
5234 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Australian Open?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$102.31May 16, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$500.00May 14, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $84.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".