Stimulating-Mailing
0x80cf0749b26556cb2ce5bad513388309865d614d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$11.8K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-468.28
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5195 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.2K
$1.6K
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
2400 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$36.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2400 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-12.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2300 shares @ 40.8¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$153.51
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5195 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$968.87
$-1.6K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
300 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$297.14
$5.05
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
600 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$219.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$215.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
180 shares @ 91.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$175.50
$11.30
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
1600 shares @ 29.0¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$167.20
$-296.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$288.00May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$95.32May 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.12May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$3.56May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$3.11May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$4.13May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.83May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$19.08May 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.06May 18, 04:08 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.6KMay 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$21.60May 18, 01:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.07May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.79May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.84May 18, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$500.00May 17, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$8.14May 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$96.00May 17, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 17, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$82.03May 17, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$32.36May 17, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $42.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".