Esteemed-Tumbler
0x80f6a817fa7a897a8f3b8f08614eced6cbf6dd1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$85.05
Total PnL
$-500.78
Realised
$2.63
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US bank failure by May 31?
30 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.77
$1.77
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
30 shares @ 71.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.84
$5.55
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$21.50
$-18.50
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.75
$-5.25
- YES
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
589 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-17.67
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 21?
100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$10.00May 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.14May 10, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$31.33May 10, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$0.01May 8, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$5.29May 8, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$1.29May 8, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$4.25May 7, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by May 31?$9.00May 7, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by May 31?$18.00May 7, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$21.29May 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$15.00May 7, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 7, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$50.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$20.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?$20.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$3.60May 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.67Apr 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?$6.20Apr 30, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$10.00Apr 30, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?$10.00Apr 30, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".