Decisive-Mailing
0x811f9a93ca9da1ddcacff77eb61c2d61749b8dcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$45.76
Total PnL
$-14.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 49.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.07
$2.07
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
14 shares @ 29.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.72
$1.72
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 88.5¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
27 shares @ 33.5¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.68
$-5.32
- YES
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.56
$0.54
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.01
$-0.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$0.86
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 74.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11 shares @ 51.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.87
$-4.02
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.54
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?$0.30May 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 12?$0.01May 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 12?$1.04May 12, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?$1.03May 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.35May 12, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $168 in May?$1.59May 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$1.04May 12, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$1.02May 12, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 12, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 12, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$4.84May 10, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?$1.03May 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 8, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 8, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$1.04May 7, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.03May 7, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$1.17May 7, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$1.03May 7, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$1.03May 7, 01:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".