Phony-Silkworm
0x814fdfc105cf40f110bf88df163965cfad3c6915
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-82.12
Realised
$7.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
900 shares @ 94.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$835.20
$-14.70
- NO
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
481 shares @ 93.2¢·now 90.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$435.60
$-12.48
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$235.50
$-13.50
- NO
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 94.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$165.00
$-23.00
- NO
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
190 shares @ 71.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$164.10
$29.00
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$150.00
$-22.00
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
107 shares @ 89.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$93.81
$-1.87
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
110 shares @ 84.5¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$91.03
$-1.93
- NO
Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?
55 shares @ 97.3¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.96
$-3.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
44 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$41.95
$0.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$279.00May 3, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$162.36May 3, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$24.03May 3, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$41.35May 2, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$76.89May 1, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$16.05May 1, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$59.59May 1, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$26.42May 1, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$90.00May 1, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$96.10May 1, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$192.40May 1, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$399.14May 1, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$199.40Apr 30, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$386.18Apr 30, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$96.13Apr 30, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$497.99Apr 30, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$2.22Apr 30, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$9.99Apr 30, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$175.29Apr 30, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$42.48Apr 30, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $118.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".