Rare-Supply
0x815cbff1318a0dc25e1517a7a543ea86499814d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$226.09
Total PnL
$-107.62
Realised
$11.17
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
153 shares @ 47.3¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.19
$27.82
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
32 shares @ 52.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.84
$-1.76
- NO
Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.16
$8.16
- NO
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.81
$8.81
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
17 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.00
$0.47
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.84
$4.13
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.75
$7.75
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.33
$3.33
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.22
$3.23
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.65
$0.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".